The great Oxford-analysis: These ten countries to tax on a second Corona-shaft

Corona is not over. Even if in many countries and is loosened – there continue to be increases the infection numbers. An analysis of the Oxford data shows which countries could threaten a second wave. And the are calculated, where the situation seems to relax.

The world health organization reported cases in the strongest increase of the global Corona. In particular, the United States, where authorities announced a daily increase of about 35,000 new infections per day – nearly as many as at the peak of the crisis in April.

However, not only in the USA, a further rise in cases threatens. Ten countries are particularly vulnerable, to a second Corona-wave move. The analysis of the “Guardian”, which is based on data from the Oxford researchers found.

As the British magazine writes, include these ten countries to the regions which are currently less stringent measures shall apply. In all ten countries, the authorities made in relation to the previous week, an increase in case numbers. This brought the analysis in connection with the so-called “stringency index”.

Stringency index rating of countries ‘ activities, in order to prevent a second Virus wave

The scientists from the University of Oxford to show up in the “Coronavirus Government Response Tracker”, how the infection happened in different countries in terms of the measures developed.

Overall, the researchers considered 17 indicators. The data for the indicators summarized under four indices:

• a cross-Index, the rating of the response of a government to the Virus
• a Mitigation and health index
• an Index that considers the economic support, so, for example, Income support
• and a so-called stringency index.

On the basis of the stringency index is a rating of the Tracker, the public information campaigns, control measures and closures on a scale of 0 to 100.

The stringency index is below 70, it will consider the situation in a country as “relaxed”. He rises again, shows that the imposition of new measures, such as a re-Lockdown. The Guardian’s analysis accounted for ten of the countries which had been classified with values below 70 as “relaxed”, in which case the numbers now but it will rise again.

Germany: "Light Lockdown" after the outbreak in the slaughterhouse

Johns Hopkins University. In mid-June increased the number of cases in Germany. In spite of the relaxations are no strong infection increases made in Germany, first of all, noticeable. The stringency index declined to 50.0, the corona onset on the slaughterhouse of the Tönnies plant in Rheda-Wiedenbrück in the Kreis of Gütersloh had let him, however, to 73.0 rise. Since then, over a two-country circles, a Lockdown is imposed.

The term “Light Lockdown” occurred in the district of Gütersloh and in the neighboring circle of the village were, once again, strict requirements in force. For the time being, only two people, family members or residents of the same household are allowed to meet in a public space together. Also museums, cinemas, fitness studios, indoor swimming pools and Bars remain closed. Which according to the state of North Rhine-Westphalia’s Prime Minister, Armin Laschet, initially until 30. June 2020. Already since the 17th century. June, the schools and kindergartens in Gütersloh, Germany, are closed.

Even if the strong infection to rise to the Region of Gütersloh limited to, increased the total cases in Germany in comparison to the last week in order to 35 percent. The analysis does not exclude a renewed, large-scale increase in infections.

Iran: Second peak after loosening

Johns Hopkins University Also Iran will continue to be from the Coronavirus dominated. The countries in the middle East experienced after the loosening of your corona measures are quickly a much stronger infection increases. Thus, the Numbers in Iran reached to the first easing in may, a second peak, now the Numbers are rising again. The officials had stated that the increase was due to more Tests.

But at the same time, the percentage of positive returned Tests increase, it is likely that the Virus again in the population had spread. The stringency value is 52.8.

Saudi Arabia: Strong increase since mid-June

Johns Hopkins University , The corona cases in Saudi Arabia rise again. The stringency index in Saudi Arabia is currently 69.9, so close to the border. For the Hajj, the traditional pilgrimage, which will begin at the end of July, will only be permitted Muslims to live in Saudi Arabia. Also, the number of pilgrims is very limited. Hajj Minister Mohammed Saleh bin said Taher Benten, the number of pilgrims will be in the four digit range, but not the 10,000-mark to exceed. For comparison: last year, 2.5 million people made the pilgrimage to Mecca.

Despite the limitations, the cases in Saudi Arabia rise since the middle of June again strong and overhauled in order for the Infection rates for the first peak, which is on the early to mid-may date

• Reading tip: All of the new developments to the outbreak of the Coronavirus it up in the News Ticker read

USA: infection increase due to local outbreaks

Johns Hopkins University In the USA, there are daily tens of thousands of nine infections. After several governors had eased the measures, was reduced the stringency value in the United States at the beginning of June to 69.0. However, after several cities had eased their policies, it came again to local relapses. Thus, the number of new corona cases has increased in the past week compared to the last one-quarter. President Donald Trump said, although the increase in infections going back, especially to an increase in the number of Tests.

As he explained in an Interview with Fox News, have been tested in the USA to date, some 30 million people to the Virus, more than any other country in the world. “When we would test, we would have no cases,” said the US President.

The most renowned experts reject trump’s statement, however. You make in the first line of Trump-driven easing of Corona-restrictions in the Federal States are responsible.

Sweden: Accelerated Transfer Rate

Johns Hopkins University Sweden committed in the corona of the crisis a different approach. In Sweden the epidemic was used as early as in Germany. The country, however, pursued a different approach, limited to its citizens only a little. Most of the schools remained opened, as cafes and Restaurants. The country now runs the risk of reliving a second infection increase.

The head of the WHO regional office for Europe, Hans Kluge, had spoken on Thursday by once again increasing Corona-Pay in Europe. An accelerated transmission rate have led in different countries to a very significant resurgence of the Virus – including Sweden. The Index is currently 46.3.

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